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作者匿稱:阿達茲

 會員等級:新手上路
潛水漁民
 
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 註冊日期:2010/07/07
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那年初顧老大曾預測八九月是這波的高點是否要再修正了呢?
變成2010五月是低點再往上走到2011年九月??

 

回覆時間 2010/08/10 00:08:23

作者匿稱:kurich

 會員等級:管理版主  
 會員編號:00146
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Short-Term Geocosmics
So what was so important about early last week, when equities and Silver bottomed, while Treasuries and the Japanese Yen topped out? Well, it was within three trading days of three important “Level 1” (strongest) geocosmic signatures that unfolded August 20 and 21. These included the Sun-Neptune opposition, Venus-Mars conjunction, and the 32-37 year waning square of Saturn and Pluto. On top of that, Mercury also turned retrograde on August 20. Combinations like this, so close in time to one another, usually produce a reversal within three trading days. This was no exception. How long this reversal will last, however, is another matter, because under Mercury retrograde, reversals oftentimes do not last long. More often than not, big price thrusts in any direction usually lose momentum quickly, i.e. within 4 trading days. We also note that these reversals occurred close to the Virgo-Pisces full moon of Tuesday, August 24. Lunations in mutable signs seem to have the most correspondence to reversals in many financial markets, as opposed to lunations in other types of signs.

The next series of important geocosmic signatures starts up on September 4. An abundance of signatures will then unfold lasting through Venus retrograde on October 8. Prepare yourself for another roller coaster ride during that 5-week period, for in addition to ending with the powerful Venus retrograde, we will also encounter the second of three Jupiter-Uranus conjunction passages on September 18. These are two of the highest historical correspondences of all geocosmic signatures to primary or greater cycles in equities, as reported in the studies of “The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 3: Geocosmic Correlations to Trading Cycles.”

Longer-Term Thoughts
For some time now I have been writing about a “bubble” in financial assets. More recently (since June) I have referenced that such a bubble seems to building in U.S. Treasuries. But the concept of “bubbles” means different things to different analysts. In the strictest numerical sense, a “bubble” is a phenomenon where a financial asset increases sharply in price without any notable and normal declines. In almost all cases, the advance of that asset is at least 100% of a price from which the move up started. More often than not, the increase is 4-10 times higher.

Bubbles have correlations to Financial Astrology. They pertain to Jupiter and/or Uranus, either in the skies at a given point in time, or to the chart of particular entity associated with a financial market. The NASDAQ Composite’s tech bubble started from a base of 750 when Uranus entered Aquarius in 1995 to its high of over 5000 in March 2000, as Uranus advanced to the last third of Aquarius, squared by Saturn and Jupiter in Taurus. Aquarius is associated with technology, and the NSADAQ is a tech-heavy index. Or you could look at the bubble in Crude Oil as Uranus moved into Pisces in early 2003 from a base of about $25/barrel to a high of $147.27 in July 2008, when Uranus was in the last third of Pisces. Pisces is the sign associated with Crude Oil. In each case, the ensuing decline took prices down 70-80% within 6-24 months.

But there is another way to look at bubbles rather in terms of multiples of 4-10 times. Bubbles can coincide with periods of excessive greed or fear, driving investors to flock to a particular investment and thus drive its value sharply higher. This is the case with Treasuries right now, in my opinion, and the basis for my concerns that Treasuries are forming a “Double Bubble Trouble.” There is no way that Treasury Bonds or Notes will appreciate 4-10 times their price at the base from which the move up began, due to the way Treasuries are valued. From a base of 95-105 in 1999 and 2007, Ten Year Treasury Notes rallied to an all-time high of 130/25 on December 19, 2008, as the Federal Reserve Board experienced its 12-year Jupiter return. That was also in the peak of the Financial Panic. It fell back to 115 as recently as April 2010, but is now approaching the 130 area again (the high last week was close to 127).

The reason I suspect this is a bubble is because of the psychology behind this sharp run up in the last 4 months. It is due to excessive fear, again, as investors have piled much more money into the “safety” of Treasuries than they have the stock market. I see this as a dangerous trend – even a “bubble” - due to the psychological factors. But I also see it as “bubble” from the Financial Astrology point of view. Jupiter and Uranus have been in conjunction in the very early degrees of Aries. And this forms a T-square to the Sun-Pluto opposition in the Federal Reserve Board chart (created December 23, 1913). The Fed and the financial products it affects through its decisions (such as Treasuries) are thus akin to a “bubble.”

Many astrologers were baffled that the astrological midsection of the Cardinal Climax did not produce any spectacular events, such as another financial crisis or political overthrow, or start of a new world war. Yet this simply demonstrates a lesson in how astrology works. It is not “causal” in terms of human activity, although it may be causal in terms of natural phenomenon, such as the severe heat and dryness that led to the fires and drought in Russia, and the floods that displaced hundreds of thousands in China and Pakistan.

Astrology correlated to human activity is more “synchronistic” than causal. In the thoughts of the great Swiss psychologist and astrologer Carl Jung, “Every moment of time has its own unique quality, and whatever is born in that moment takes on that quality.” So as I approach the study of astrology, it is not from the viewpoint of predicting an event related to the meaning of each planet and sign. I am more interested in “what is born in that moment” in which an unusual cosmic pattern unfolds. To me, that is the key to understanding what the outcome will be.

As I see it, there were at least three important economic and mundane policies and decisions that were “birthed” in the July 21-August 21 Cardinal Climax midsection. And those decisions commence the cycles that will soon grow into something transformative regarding our economic future. In fact, they have already begun. As I stated in the Forecast 2010 Book, the year 2010 may be the most important year of our collective life as seen from the study of astrology. We have choices going into the summer of 2010. But by then, the choices will have been made and it will be very difficult to turn back the consequences that those choices will generate.

What were those choices and how do they relate to astrology? The first was the Financial Regulatory Reform Act of July 21, which took place as Saturn entered Libra, and with Jupiter and Uranus opposite in Aries. Each of these transits squared the USA Venus and Jupiter. Venus and Jupiter are the “money” planets, and this can be a classical bankruptcy aspect related to spending more than one can afford. And then on August 10, the Federal Reserve Board decided to abandon its pre-announced plan of an “exit strategy” by drawing down its balance sheet. Instead it decided to reflate its portfolio by resuming purchases of long-term Treasuries. It did this as Jupiter was stationary, in exact square to Pluto (an aspect of holding too much debt), forming a T-square to the Fed’s Sun-Pluto opposition. When Jupiter is involved in these kinds of aspects, there can be a tendency to misjudge via over-estimation and exaggeration. That’s the astrological perspective, as I see it. Decisions were made and there will be consequences that will grow out of these new initiatives, and they will have an impact upon life as we know it, for better or worse, per the dynamics of the most potent line up of geocosmic signatures in our lifetime. As above, so below.

The third decision that was made during this period occurred last Saturday, August 21. That was when Russia loaded the rods for a nuclear reactor in Iran. It was on the day of Saturn square Pluto, but also still at the beginning of the 78-year period when the progressed Mars in the USA chart has turned retrograde. Mars rules one’s military outlook. If anyone says that the heart of the Cardinal Climax was a non-event, I beg to differ. I believe it was every bit as important as financial astrologers throughout the world expected. And the markets are reflecting this.

借東風投資股份有限公司董事長
Stock Market Prediction
Financial Astrology Techniques
是非成敗誰先覺
進退存亡我自知
 

回覆時間 2010/08/30 19:47:47

作者匿稱:kurich

 會員等級:管理版主  
 會員編號:00146
 理財金幣:+ 147655 
 發表總數:總計 2606 篇文章
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水星才剛剛結束逆行............
台北股市就大漲200點
3大高價股漲停 台股上8千
更新日期:2010/09/13 15:49
(中央社記者許湘欣台北13日電)兩岸經濟協議(ECFA)正式生效、高價電子股價飆漲,上市高價股3檔全部漲停,台股今天開高走高,一舉衝破8000點。
國際股市走穩,台股近期高檔震盪整理後,今天由ECFA點火,在類股齊揚下,一舉飛越8000點大關。終場加權指數以8091.3點作收,大漲201.19點,成交金額達新台幣1463.94億元。
盤面以ECFA概念族群最亮麗,汽車、塑膠、航運到金融等,除了族群上揚,更有代表性個股冒出頭來。
裕日車今天即以加速認列大陸轉投資收益,前3季賺逾一個股本題材,開盤就跳空漲停,每股103.5元;金融股指數也一舉站上所有均線,彰銀爆出約10萬張大量,居上市個股成交量冠軍。
航運股則在華航帶領下,有3%以上漲幅。早收清單中受惠許多的塑膠類股也個股齊揚,台塑更創下金融海嘯以來新高,收在75元。
今天創新高的不止ECFA概念股,股王宏達電挾英國倫敦舉行新機發表會題材,股價今天開高走高,衝破700元大關,收在716元,與股后大立光收盤668元雙雙漲停,都刷新金融海嘯以來新高。
緊追宏達電、大立光之後的晶華,同步亮燈漲停收在524元,帶領觀光族群漲幅超過5%。上市前三高價股今天都站上漲停。
除了ECFA概念股一馬當先,今天所有兩岸概念股可說同步發光,不僅觀光,中概百貨通路也一片紅,統一超收在125元,也刷新金融海嘯以來新高。
群益葛萊美基金經理人蔡志仁指出,台股想要繼續上攻,除了量能須持續擴增,電子權值股和金融股後市也須持續發威,在市場資金仍充裕的環境下,台股有機會挑戰前高。
大昌證券也表示,指數下檔有撐,台股欲小不易,且上週電子股成交比重已接近七成,顯示資金有回流至電子的跡象,後市除了中概內需等族群,選股可留意面板、發光二極體 (LED)、蘋果概念的iPad、iPhone及IC設計等重量級電子股。(圖表為中央社製作)990913

借東風投資股份有限公司董事長
Stock Market Prediction
Financial Astrology Techniques
是非成敗誰先覺
進退存亡我自知
 

回覆時間 2010/09/13 17:40:09
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