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據說是江恩的未曾公開的秘傳 江恩的未曾公開的秘傳 閩發論壇--> 多彩財經 【 原創:天動 時間:2004-6-12 9:27:22 】 你不要總是在指數上花太多時間，但是一定要確定這些代表著每一只個股的平均指數的位置和狀態。保險業要使用平均法則，保險精算師可以計算1000個不同年齡的人並可以告訴你他們之中每年有多少人將死去，但是精算師不可能根據平均指數來推算並告訴你每個人什麼時候會死，因為事實上不同時間出生的人聚合在一起具有相同的平均出生率。股票指數也同樣由那些5, 10, 20, 30, 50, 和 100年歷史的上市公司的股票所組成。具有很大的成立時間上的不同，產業定位於不同國家和領域，並受當地的其他環境條件影響，牠們之中的一些將與指數趨勢形成反方向運行僅僅是其自然本性的原因。
Therefore, in order to get a reliable Forecast, each company and its stock must be analyzed separately, judged and forecast individually and not collectively."
因此，要想獲得一個可靠的預測，每一個公司和它的股票都必須單獨分析，單獨判斷和預測而不是從總體上去這樣做。
1.Leave queer-acting stocks alone. Stick to the ones that favor you.
離那些走市古怪的股票遠遠的，牢牢沾住一個你能很好把握的股票
"The kind of stocks to trade in are those that are active and those that follow the rules and a definite trend. There are always queer acting stocks and some stocks that don^t follow the rules. These stocks should be left alone." W. D. Gann, New Stock Trend Detector, p. 34
適合交易的股票種類是那些活躍的並且跟隨法則具有明確趨勢的那些股票。那些走市總是很古怪的股票和那些不跟隨法則的股票，我們應該讓牠們自己去表演。
" When you find that a stock does not seem to work well for you, leave it alone. Quit trading in it, and stick to the ones that favor you. I could explain to you the cause for this, but it is not necessary, and many of you would not believe it.
當你發現一個股票並不象你分析的那樣運行時，就請離開它，退出在它上面的交易，而要去粘住一個適合你的你能很好把握的股票。我可以解釋這其中的原因，但不是必須的，妳們其中的很多人也未必相信這個解釋。
It makes no difference whether you know or do not know the reason why a thing works or does not work; just as soon as experience teaches you that there is something that works against you, the only thing to do is quit." W. D. Gann, Truth of the Stock Tape, p. 75
你是否知道為什麼一件事情發生或不發生的理由是沒有太大差別的。你只需要讓經驗事實告訴你有些東西正在和你對著乾就足夠了，你僅僅需要的是退出。
2.Know when to quit. Determine when your trend is changing one way or the other.
知道什麼時候退出。當你的交易趨勢正在變化時你有辦法知道。
"A man^s life runs in cycles just the same as stocks. He reaches his apex and does not know it. His time for money making ends, and he should keep what he has already made, rather than try to make more.
一個人的生命在一個循環中運行就象股票一樣。他到達他的頂點但他自己並不知道。他賺錢的時間結束了，他要保存住他先前所獲得的要比他努力賺更多更重要。
There is a seasonal trend and a mathematical scientific cycle which determines the time and limits to which a man can go and when he bucks the law and the tide turns against him. The most important thing for every man to know is when to quit. After a man has made money, he must know when he has enough, stop and keep what he has. …
一個週期性季節性的趨勢和數學的科學循環確定了一個人可以到達的時間和範圍，以及什麼時候它違反法則使得趨勢向與他預期的相反方向的逆轉。對每個人來說最重要的事情是知道什麼時候退出。在一個人賺到錢後，他必須知道什麼時候就足夠了，什麼時候停止並保持他所擁有的。
"Man^s seasonal trend changes just as the market and he has his good and bad cycles. By keeping a record of your own trades, you can determine when your trend is changing one way or the other. I have been able to make as many as 200 consecutive trades without a loss. If I had no way to forecast it, what sign should I watch to tell when the tide had turned against me and I should get out and wait? The first indication that something was wrong would be the first trade on which I made a loss. …
人類的季節性趨勢變化正象這個市場一樣有好的和壞的循環。通過對你自己的交易記錄，你可以測定什麼時候你的個人趨勢的變化。我可以連續200次交易不會有一點損失。假如我沒有預測市場的方法，我怎麼能在趨勢已經向我預期的方向發生逆轉的時候發現一些跡象並作出賣出或觀望的決策呢？首要的是在第一次交易時就不要使自己失敗和損失……
"There is no use staying in, holding on and hoping, when things go against you. Take your loss quickly and get out. You will make money by staying out of the market and waiting for an opportunity when the market is right, your physical condition good and your mind at its best. To beat the stock market is a battle of wits. Your mind must be active, keen and alert. You must be able to change your mind and act quickly. When you find that your mind gets sluggish and you cannot act quickly, you are in no position to be in the market." W. D. Gann, Wall Street Stock Selector, pp. 34, 35
當趨勢離你而去的時候，死撐毫無意義，抱著僥倖沒有一點用。儘快承認損失並離開市場。你將因為離開市場來“賺”到一筆錢，並等待適合你的市場機會，這樣你的物質條件良好，心態也不錯。打敗市場是一個智力的戰爭，你的心態要積極，敏銳，警覺。你要學會快速的調整改變你的心態和行為。當你的心態變的遲緩，你的行動就會失去果斷快速，你在市場裏就根本無法立足。
保護自身利益，勿將盤勢看法與股市規律透露讓他人知悉。
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