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作者匿稱:kurich

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論2010~2019天王星進入白羊座重要特徵
2010年5月29日~8月14日 & 2011年3月13日~2018年5月15日 & 2018年11月7日~2019年3月6日,以上期間天王星在白羊座。本篇就檢查一下天王星進入白羊座後占星特徵必須注意的地方。
首先是天王星與木星合相,共計3次,第

借東風投資股份有限公司董事長
Stock Market Prediction
Financial Astrology Techniques
是非成敗誰先覺
進退存亡我自知


發表時間 2010/01/15 14:43:36  該用戶目前不在線上    管理版主

作者匿稱:ws05kimo

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太空探索/突然暴亮的天鵝V407 震驚天文學家
更新日期:2010/03/29 10:06 生活中心/台北報導
日本業餘天文愛好者K. Nishiyama和F. Kabashima在2011年3月11日發出快訊,指出他們在天鵝座新發現一顆7.4等的新星(nova)。但後續觀測發現,這顆新星其實是天文學家早就已知的變星—天鵝座V407(V407 Cygni);然而天鵝V407的亮度一般在12∼14等之間變化,是什麼原因造成它這次突然暴亮到原本的40∼250倍?


天鵝V407是個共生變星(symbiotic variable),即密近雙星造成的亮度變化。共生變星的其中一顆子星通常是M型紅巨星,另一顆則是溫度比較高但比較小的白矮星,紅巨星的物質會隨其發出的恆星風而逐漸轉移到白矮星上,被白矮星加溫游離後,在雙星周圍形成共生星雲(symbiotic nebula)。


造成這種共生變星系統產生變化的原因相當複雜,有因雙星運動而造成的週期性變化,有因紅巨星脈動而造成的變化,有因拱星塵雲(circumstellar dust)遮蔽恆星而引起的變化,或是因紅巨星表面有黑子活動而引起的變化 ,或是紅巨星物質落往白矮星過程中所造成的變化。物質以一定速率在白矮星周圍累積形成吸積盤的過程中,若累積速率突然增快,或是物質累積達到穩定點上限而突然落向白矮星表面,便會引起類似新星的爆發現象(nova-like eruption)。


約有20%的共生變星子星中的巨星是米拉型變星(Mira-type variable,即鯨魚座omicron型變星或�f�\增二型變星), 即會因體積漲縮而造成亮度變化的長週期或半規則脈動變星;這種雙星通常周圍有含塵量很高的包層(envelopes),天鵝V407便屬於其中之一。


此外,共生米拉變星的亮度通常增加得很慢,通常要花上幾個月才會達到最大亮度,且沒有明顯的物質噴出現象。天鵝V407約幾個星等的典型變化主要是因為米拉型變星的脈動所造成,天文學家從未觀測到這個變星系統有類似新星的爆發現象。因此這次日本業餘天文愛好者報告的暴亮事件,才會震驚了許多天文學家。


天文學家快訊發出2天後的3月13日首度觀測這個系統的光譜,結果發現與這個系統之前的光譜特徵,甚至是其他米拉型共生變星爆發時的光譜特徵都不相同。一般米拉變星吸收光譜會被更明亮的白矮星藍連續光譜掩蓋掉,然而天鵝V407此次卻明顯有2種不同活動造成的發射光譜特徵,其中一種是米拉變星發出、由游離粒子組成的慢速恆星風,另一種則是新星爆發而造成向外快速膨脹的噴射物質(ejecta)。


事實上,這個光譜看起來與另一個共生再發新星(symbiotic recurrent novae)蛇夫座RS(RS Ophiuchi)或北冕座T星(T CrB)非常類似,因此天鵝V407可能步上星途的另一階段,加入了非常罕見的共生再發新星家族。


故事到此尚未結束。費米伽瑪射線太空望遠鏡(Fermi Gamma-ray Space Telescop)上的大面積望遠鏡(Large Area Telescope,LAT)偵測到來自天鵝V407的伽瑪射線,但是天文學家從未在共生系統中觀測到伽瑪射線過。天文學家推測這些伽瑪射線很可能來自使向外拋射的物質加速的震波,或因被雙星系統內的強磁場限制而導致的,但還無法確定真正的原因。


最新的官觀測結果,天鵝V407的亮度已經降到9.6等左右,天鵝V407座標為赤經21h2m10s、赤緯+45��46.6',大約位在天鵝座主星天津四(Deneb)以東3度之處、北美洲星雲(NGC 7000)的北緣。


由於巨星正在逐漸流失質量中,周圍的拱星物質愈來愈多,因此像許多新星或再發新星爆發時一樣,天鵝V407爆發後的數週或數個月內,爆發的拋出物質撞擊到周圍的拱星物質時,兩者間的交互作用會使這個系統的亮度變化顯得複雜而有趣,有興趣者不妨持續觀測。(文/引用自臺北天文館網路天文館網站)

金融操作者十要
http://stockcycle.com.tw/Topic.asp?topic_id=15895&forum_id=155&cat_id=12

人生對自己負責

 

回覆時間 2010/03/29 18:16:48

作者匿稱:albert

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看不懂kimo前輩所po的文章
想要傳達什麼訊息

從愛和喜悅的心作出發,以感恩和分享的態度唯依皈!
 

回覆時間 2010/04/06 17:44:13

作者匿稱:kurich

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The Long-Term Cycles
My view is that the 72-year cycle and its 36-year half-cycle bottomed March 6-10, 2009. That was the 77th year of the 72-year cycle, which has a range of 60-84 years, although historically all have been between 73-75 years before this one. It was also the 35th year in the 36-year cycle, which is very close to perfect. However, I don’t think it was the 90-year cycle, and its 45-year half-cycle.

Historically we note that the long-term cycle troughs in British and U.S. stock markets occur when Pluto is in a cardinal sign. We also note that these lows have always been followed by a secondary low 6-22 years later, and it is possible the second low is lower than the first. As discussed in “The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 2, Geocosmic Correlations to Investment Cycles,” this happened in the first instance of the 72- and 90-year cycles. The first leg down was in 1762, just after Pluto entered Capricorn the last time around (its orbital cycle is about 248 years). Note that Pluto next entered Capricorn in January 2008. After a healthy 3-5 year rally that saw prices testing its highs of the previous 30 years, the British stock market fell to an even lower low on a secondary bottom in 1784 as Pluto moved into 11 degrees of Aquarius. The next major collapse occurred when the U.S. stock market fell 80% from its then all-time high of 1834-35 (as Saturn and Pluto were in opposition) to its 90-year cycle trough (80 years later) in February 1842 (1762-1842). Pluto was in 19 degrees of Aries, the next cardinal sign. Once again the market rallied, for nearly 10 years to re-test its all-time high again in 1852, before falling to its secondary bottom and 72-year cycle trough in October 1857. Pluto was in 6 degrees of Taurus on this secondary low. It did not take out the low of 1842, but it was close. Once again, a long-term bull market followed, culminating in another new all-time high in September 1929. And then the stock market crashed as prices fell 90% into the Great Depression low of July 1932 when Pluto was in 21 degrees of Cancer, the next cardinal sign. This was both the 90 and 72-year cycle troughs, measured from the lows of 1842 and 1857 respectively. The DJIA rallied over 380% the next five years, but then fell to its secondary bottom in 1938, just six years after the low of 1932. Pluto was still in late Cancer at the time.

So what can we learn from this history? First, as already mentioned, a 72- or 90-year cycle has unfolded when Pluto was in cardinal signs. It just so happens that Saturn was in cardinal signs too (or just passed), while Uranus was at the end or beginning of the zodiac (Pisces-Aries). A secondary low tends to form 6-22 years later, but this secondary low has been occurring progressively sooner throughout history. First it was 22 years later, then 15, then 6. The progression implies the next secondary low may be less than 6 years. In between these lows, the market rallies substantially, often testing the previous all-time high.

Now let’s look at the current market. I believe a 72-year cycle trough occurred March 2009. At the time, Pluto was in early Capricorn, a cardinal sign, just as it was in 1762. Uranus was in 22 degrees of Pisces on March 6, 2009, in the early part of a sector where it has always been at these long-term cycle lows (23 Pisces to 23 Aries). But Saturn was only 18 degrees of Virgo, not yet in a cardinal sign which marked the devastating declines of the past. Saturn is, however, in the cardinal sign of Libra now (October 29, 2009-October 5, 2012, with the exception of April 7-July 21, 2010 when it retrogrades back into Virgo). It will also be in the cardinal sign of Capricorn, December 2017-December 2020, while Pluto is still there too. One of these two periods could coincide with the end of another sharp decline in U.S. stock prices, in my opinion, that will qualify as the secondary low to the 72-year cycle of March 2009. In the meantime, U.S. and world stock indices could re-test or even make a new all-time high.

Another reason why I believe there is yet to be another sharp sell-off in world stock markets is because the 45-year half-cycle to the 90-year cycle did not likely occur in March 2009. This half-cycle is ideally due 45-years after its last occurrence in 1974, which would be 2019 +/- 8 years. It seems most likely to happen when Saturn goes into Capricorn (December 2017-2020), for that will also coincide with the Saturn-Pluto conjunction, which marks the end of the 32-37-year economic “down” cycle. Saturn and Pluto will then enter their waxing phase, when economies tend to begin a more prosperous cycle for the next 16-20 years.

But what also concerns me along the way is the seven-passage series of the Uranus-Pluto waxing square of June 24, 2012 through March 17, 2015. The last time these two planets squared one another was in their waning phase of 1932-1934. The time before that was a waxing phase (just like 2012-2015), from 1876-1877, right in the midst of the longest economic depression in U.S. history, lasting 1873-1879. What is also interesting about that period is that it was the only time in stock market history when Jupiter and Uranus were in conjunction to one another and both in opposition to Saturn. This happens June 2010 through the first quarter of 2011. It also happened around the middle of 1872, just before that 6-year Great Depression. Curiously, the stock market was making new all-time highs then, and continued to make slightly higher all-time highs even into early 1874, even as the longest Depression in U.S. history was unfolding. Does this sound familiar? The stock market was soaring, but the economy was falling, and about to fall real hard for the next several years. The stock market finally succumbed and fell hard too, from a double top all-time high in 1873-74, to an 18-year cycle trough at the bottom of the Depression in 1877, right in the central time band of the Uranus-Pluto waxing square, the same type of configuration we are undergoing right now. That is, in 2010, Saturn is in opposition to the Jupiter-Uranus conjunction, just as it was in 1872. The stock market is flying but the economy is still ridden with serious world-wide debt issues that have not been settled. In fact, the debt issues and spending are exploding, when they need to be reduced. The stock market, however, can stay in this “bubble” for some time, perhaps until the Uranus-Pluto waxing square begins in 2012. And then watch out. Just as we witnessed in 1876-1877, another collapse could commence in 2012-2015, and maybe not even complete its bottoming process until the Saturn-Pluto conjunction of January 2020, +/- 18 months.

However, before Uranus and Pluto start their square, there may be considerable money to be made in the stock market. For after all, Jupiter will be in Aries through the first half of 2011, and this is a bullish sector of the zodiac for this planet. And it will conjunct Uranus, which is a sign of excessive speculation., Savers will likely move their monies from money markets and bank savings account, which now pay less than 1% rate of return, to the stock market, which has been yielding 70+% returns, with a possibility of much higher to come in the next year. And then the guillotine falls, and savers won’t exit in time. They will be devastated, and the government will try to rescue them by applying more and more restrictions, regulations, fines, and penalties on the evil banking and stock market community. It’s all happened before. And although it seems like everything is changing and different, it’s all the same. We don’t learn from history because we don’t value the study of cycles, and thus we continually repeat the same mistakes under the same cycles time and time again. By the way, the last time Jupiter and Uranus were conjunct in Aries was….July 15, 1927 through January 25, 1928. It was in “lift-off” mode, and the bubble persisted into September 1929. That would equate to September 2012 in today’s terms.

借東風投資股份有限公司董事長
Stock Market Prediction
Financial Astrology Techniques
是非成敗誰先覺
進退存亡我自知
 

回覆時間 2010/04/10 13:21:00

作者匿稱:dawn

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災難頻傳嗎?

波蘭總統伉儷、政要墜機 97人亡
更新日期:2010/04/11 04:11
〔編譯羅彥傑/綜合十日外電報導〕一架搭載波蘭總統列赫.卡辛斯基夫婦、央行行長、最高軍事首長及其他政府高官的俄製圖波列夫—154型總統專機,十日因濃霧而準備降落時,疑似因飛行員未遵照指示而墜毀於俄羅斯西部城市斯摩林斯克附近的一座森林,機上九十七人全部罹難。波蘭政府菁英一夕殞命震驚波蘭全國與世界,波蘭已宣布依法由國會議長科摩勞斯基暫代總統職權,並將提前舉行總統選舉,波蘭總理圖斯克也將趕赴失事現場坐鎮。


機齡26年 疑降落撞到樹梢


卡廷空難喪生的波蘭政府、軍方高官總計有總統及第一夫人、兩名眾院副議長、參議院副議長、副國防部長、總統府國安局長、中央銀行行長、參謀總長,陸、海、空軍總司令與特種部隊總司令以及一個左派小黨總統候選人,還有多名牧師等。波蘭政治軍事機關的最高層人物在這次空難中幾乎被摧毀殆盡,這也恐怕創下史上單次空難折損國家菁英人數最多的紀錄。分析家認為這起空難的政治衝擊將很長遠,而且令波蘭政治生態丕變。不過,預料空難尚不至於直接影響波蘭政府的運作,因為波蘭總統雖然是三軍統帥,但主要是儀式性的角色。


政軍高層折損 史上最慘重


俄國緊急事務部表示,這起空難共九十七人喪生,其中八十九名乘客、八名機組員;不過,波蘭外交部說,乘客名單為八十九人,但一人未趕上飛機而逃過一劫。失事客機的兩具黑盒子已經找到,俄羅斯國營通訊社「俄羅斯新聞社」報導,卡辛斯基的遺體也已在現場被尋獲。


俄國斯摩林斯克省省長安徒菲耶夫說,這架機齡二十六年的噴射客機在接近斯摩林斯克的機場時,因濃霧而撞到樹梢,墜毀於機場兩公里外的一座森林,斷成數截起火。


為卡廷慘案赴俄 同地又傳悲劇


俄國通訊社報導,失事原因目前懷疑是駕駛員疏失。俄羅斯空軍副司令阿留辛中將說,「在距離二.五公里時,航管發現機組員加速下降,已經在滑翔線以下開始下降」,「航管負責人命令機組員回到水平飛行,當機組員並未執行指示,又多次下指令指示降落另一座機場……然而機組員繼續下降,不幸的是以悲劇結束。」


從俄國電視畫面可看出,飛機殘骸散落在整片森林,有部分殘骸仍在燃燒中。消防隊已趕往現場撲滅火勢。目擊者表示,失事飛機在向左傾斜後墜毀,且墜地時有兩次很大的爆炸聲。


代總統科摩勞斯基已宣布,舉國哀悼一星期。俄國總理普廷與總統梅德維傑夫雙雙致電給圖斯克致哀,並保證與波蘭合作調查空難。已親自領銜空難調查委員會的普廷還告訴圖斯克,會做到充分告知,俄國已宣布十二日全國哀悼。


專機去年曾大修 政府無錢汰換


卡辛斯基此行是要參加二戰波蘭菁英軍官在卡廷森林慘遭紅軍屠殺七十週年的紀念儀式。曾領導團結工聯反共的波蘭前總統華勒沙,形容這起意外「無法想像」。一臉錯愕的他說:「蘇共七十年前在卡廷殺害波蘭菁英。今天,波蘭菁英正準備對在當地遇害的波蘭人致敬時,竟又在當地遭到不測。」


卡辛斯基的孿生兄弟、前總理賈洛史拉夫.卡辛斯基對弟弟的喪生感到「震驚哀痛」,他所屬的法律正義黨(PiS)發言人說,「賈洛史拉夫.卡辛斯基因這起悲劇感到極為哀痛,但仍保持堅強。」


波蘭長久以來就有討論汰換政府領袖專機的聲音,但苦於資金短絀。波蘭官員透露,失事的圖波列夫—154型總統專機在去年十二月曾進廠大修,包括更換三具引擎、翻新電子飛航裝備以及更新機艙內部空間。根據「飛航安全網」指出,圖波列夫—154型飛機的空難共六十六件,過去五年就占了六件。俄國國營航空公司Aeroflot最近才讓旗下的圖波列夫—154型飛機停役。

當虧損發生時,時間就是你最大的敵人!
好時機得來不易,當時機對你有利時,要狠狠下注!
 

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